Democrats Start With Narrow Advantage in Nevada Open Seat

Nathan L. Gonzales March 27, 2015 · 11:02 AM EDT

Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid’s retirement ensures that Nevada will host a top-tier Senate race in 2016.

Reid’s announcement doesn’t expand the map for Republicans, since the Democrat was vulnerable if he had sought re-election to a sixth term. But the open seat is likely to be an expensive and competitive race until the end. 

We are changing The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report rating of the Nevada Senate race from Lean Democratic to Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic. 

Without knowing the field of candidates on both sides of the aisle, the Democratic nominee should start with a narrow advantage in a presidential year. In 2012, appointed-Sen. Dean Heller, R, narrowly defeated Democratic Rep. Shelley Berkley, 46 percent to 45 percent. But it’s also unclear how much of the Democratic base in Nevada will turn out in an election without President Barack Obama or Reid on the ballot. 

Holding Nevada is important for Democrats in order for the party to gain five seats for the Senate majority or four for control if they hold the White House. 

It’s Early: Why Pundits Shouldn’t Overreact

Stuart Rothenberg March 26, 2015 · 3:43 PM EDT

The reviews are in after the first game of spring training: Hillary Rodham Clinton struck out. Or at best, she hit a slow roller to second base and was thrown out by a mile.

She’s toast. It’s over for her. She has handled the email controversy like an amateur. The former secretary of State is old…

Lopach Leads March Toward Democratic Senate Majority

Nathan L. Gonzales March 25, 2015 · 9:16 AM EDT

Smoke billowed out of Ted Kennedy’s living room fireplace as donors gathered in his D.C. home for a fundraiser, though the legendary senator was still on the Hill for votes.

But that wasn’t too much for Tom Lopach.

“I don’t know anyone, my house is on fire and my husband is gone,” Vicki Kennedy,…

Schilling Considering Special Election for Schock Seat

Nathan L. Gonzales March 24, 2015 · 1:07 PM EDT

Former Illinois Rep. Bobby Schilling hasn’t closed the door on running in the special election to replace embattled Republican Rep. Aaron Schock, according to a knowledgeable GOP source.

State Sen. Darin LaHood of Peoria is the early front-runner in the forthcoming Republican primary, but…