House News & Analysis

Pennsylvania 8: Democrats Looking Forward to Open Seat

Nathan L. Gonzales January 23, 2015 · 1:32 PM EST

Politicians get criticized for violating vows of term limits, but GOP Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick is sticking to his pledge, even if it costs his party a seat. 

Not long ago, Democrat Patrick Murphy held Pennsylvania’s 8th District, but that was before Republicans redrew the district to be more Republican…

When a House Member Should Retire

Nathan L. Gonzales January 20, 2015 · 9:00 AM EST

If you’re a member of Congress thinking about retiring, you might want to spend some time listening to Kenny Rogers.

“You gotta know when to hold’em. Know when to fold’em. Know when to walk away. Know when to run,” sang the country music legend in his 1978 song,…

Why Democrats Can’t Count on Voters Blaming a ‘Republican Congress’

Stuart Rothenberg January 19, 2015 · 9:30 AM EST

Most emails I receive are fundraising propaganda easily ignored, since they aren’t strong on accuracy or thoughtfulness. Instead, they merely seek to incite and anger — and to get people to open their checkbooks to stop the forces of evil.

But the Monday email I received from the Progressive…

Can Democrats Win the House in 2016?

Stuart Rothenberg January 15, 2015 · 8:45 AM EST

Democrats have a better chance of winning control of the House next year than they did at any time in 2014. That’s true even though they now need to gain 30 seats, almost twice what they needed last year.

No, I’m not suggesting Democrats will win the House in…

Will Improving Economy Help Obama’s Case on Keystone?

Stuart Rothenberg January 12, 2015 · 8:30 AM EST

Events matter in politics and, for a change, they potentially seem to offer a bit of aid and comfort to President Barack Obama in his upcoming battle with the Republican-controlled Congress.

After an impressive across-the-board victory that included a new Senate majority, gains to the party’s House majority and…

Republican to Retire from Competitive House Seat in New York

Nathan L. Gonzales January 5, 2015 · 10:31 PM EST

GOP Rep. Chris Gibson of New York is set to announce his retirement on Tuesday, according to two Republican sources. 

Gibson won re-election in November in convincing fashion with a 65 percent to 35 percent victory over self-funding Democrat Sean Eldridge. But the open seat should be extremely competitive as…

Very Early Handicapping on Special Election in New York’s 11th District

Nathan L. Gonzales January 2, 2015 · 3:08 PM EST

For political operatives, reporters and junkies there isn’t a more appropriate way to kick off a new year and new election cycle than a special election in New York.

Special elections in the Empire State have became a nearly-annual affair. And thanks to GOP Rep. Michael G. Grimm’s resignation,…

Beltway View Clashes with District Dynamic in Illinois’ 12th

Nathan L. Gonzales December 19, 2014 · 4:00 PM EST

Inside the Beltway, Mike Bost was the unhinged Republican known for his rant on the floor of the Illinois Legislature and for shooting a caged beagle. So how did he defeat a Democratic incumbent by more than 10 points?

What looked like an angry liability to many Washington, D.C.…

Loss Puts Terry in Exclusive Club

Nathan L. Gonzales December 19, 2014 · 3:59 PM EST

It takes quite a feat for a Republican congressman to lose re-election in the middle of a historically-good election for the GOP. But that’s exactly what Nebraska Rep. Lee Terry and Florida Rep. Steve Southerland pulled off in 2014. 

Nearly 99 percent of all GOP incumbents seeking re-election in…

Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards for 2014

Stuart Rothenberg December 3, 2014 · 3:29 PM EST

Well, we’ve made it through another strange political year — and let’s face it, they are all strange — so it’s time for me to devote another column to picking the best, the worst and the weirdest candidates, campaigns and outcomes of the year.

As always, I will…