Senate News & Analysis

Comparing the GOP Divides, 1964 and 2016

Stuart Rothenberg May 24, 2016 · 9:00 AM EDT

With the GOP national convention still almost two months away and Donald Trump already wooing skeptical Republicans, it’s too early to know how divided the Republican Party will be in November. But minimizing that divide is critical to Trump’s prospects.

The party’s last serious fracture occurred in 1964, when…

Donald Trump is the GOP Nominee. Now What?

Nathan L. Gonzales May 5, 2016 · 10:00 AM EDT

Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee for president in 2016.  

Looking back for the answer to “How did we get here?” and forward to handicapping the general election, one word stands out: assumptions.

There was an assumption that once voters were reminded of any number of ways…

How Trump Gives Republicans a Chance to Hold Senate

Nathan L. Gonzales May 5, 2016 · 9:59 AM EDT

While it may have been unthinkable to say twelve, nine, or even six months ago, Republicans couldn’t afford to not nominate Donald Trump for president. 

After winning Indiana and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz dropping out, the wealthy businessman will secure a majority of delegates before the Republican National Convention…

Colorado Senate: Republicans Struggle to Keep Bennet in Play

May 5, 2016 · 9:58 AM EDT

The crowded GOP field to take on Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet narrowed recently from a dozen candidates to three contenders. 

Former El Paso County Commissioner Darryl Glenn was the only candidate to secure a position on the primary ballot at the state convention. It was a surprise boost of…

Illinois Senate: Kirk Downgraded to Lean Democratic

May 5, 2016 · 9:57 AM EDT

Nearly a year ago, we moved Republican Mark Kirk from Pure Toss-Up to Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic. Over the last 12 months, there is little evidence that things have gotten any better for the senator and in fact the political climate may be getting much worse, prompting another ratings change. 


Candidate Conversation - Kathy Szeliga (R)

May 5, 2016 · 9:53 AM EDT

Nominee for Maryland Senate

Interview Date: April 12, 2016

Date of Birth: Oct. 10, 1961; Baltimore, Md.

Education: Towson State Univ. (1993)

Political Office: State Delegate

Current Outlook: Szeliga won the GOP nomination with 36 percent on April 26 against an underwhelming field of 13 other candidates. She now faces…

Senate Report Shorts (May 5, 2016) Indiana, Kansas, Maryland, Pennsylvania

May 5, 2016 · 9:52 AM EDT

Indiana Senate. Rep. Todd Young won the GOP primary to replace retiring-Republican Sen. Dan Coats and is likely to move up to the Senate next year. Young, who was regarded as the mainstream conservative in the race, defeated fellow Rep. Marlin Stutzman, 67-33 percent. 

The Club for Growth endorsed…

Democrats Are Headed off Their Own Cliff

Stuart Rothenberg April 15, 2016 · 8:45 AM EDT

Political observers – yes, including myself – have argued for years that the Republican Party has moved too far right, allowing its most ideological elements to limit its legislative options, prevent it from addressing national problems, and damage its appeal to key swing and emerging voter groups.

But instead…

Indiana Primaries Enter the Home Stretch

Nathan L. Gonzales April 11, 2016 · 2:59 PM EDT

Before Hoosiers get to the legendary Indianapolis 500 on Memorial Day weekend, Indiana Republicans will go to the polls on May 3 in critical primaries for president, U.S. Senate, and two open congressional seats. 

In the Republican presidential nominating contest this year, every delegate matters and Indiana might be one…

Candidate Conversation: Conner Eldridge (D)

April 11, 2016 · 2:54 PM EDT

Nominee for Arkansas Senate

Interview Date: April 5, 2016

Date of Birth: Sept. 9, 1977; Fayetteville, Ark. 

Education: Davidson College (1999); Univ of Arkansas-Fayetteville (J.D. 2003)

Political Office: None. First run for office

Current Outlook: Eldridge is the Democratic nominee against GOP Sen. John Boozman after running unopposed in the…