Senate News & Analysis

Democrats Are Headed off Their Own Cliff

Stuart Rothenberg April 15, 2016 · 8:45 AM EDT

Political observers – yes, including myself – have argued for years that the Republican Party has moved too far right, allowing its most ideological elements to limit its legislative options, prevent it from addressing national problems, and damage its appeal to key swing and emerging voter groups.

But instead…

Indiana Primaries Enter the Home Stretch

Nathan L. Gonzales April 11, 2016 · 2:59 PM EDT

Before Hoosiers get to the legendary Indianapolis 500 on Memorial Day weekend, Indiana Republicans will go to the polls on May 3 in critical primaries for president, U.S. Senate, and two open congressional seats. 

In the Republican presidential nominating contest this year, every delegate matters and Indiana might be one…

Candidate Conversation: Conner Eldridge (D)

April 11, 2016 · 2:54 PM EDT

Nominee for Arkansas Senate

Interview Date: April 5, 2016

Date of Birth: Sept. 9, 1977; Fayetteville, Ark. 

Education: Davidson College (1999); Univ of Arkansas-Fayetteville (J.D. 2003)

Political Office: None. First run for office

Current Outlook: Eldridge is the Democratic nominee against GOP Sen. John Boozman after running unopposed in the…

GOP Incumbents Brace for Primary Losses, But Survive So Far

Nathan L. Gonzales March 25, 2016 · 11:00 AM EDT

As Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, and even Ben Carson harnessed the energy of anti-establishment voters in the Republican presidential race, GOP incumbents have grown worried they will be simultaneously swept out of office. But in spite of the volatility at the top of the ticket, Senate and House incumbents…

Senate Matchups Start to Solidify, But Landscape Unclear

Nathan L. Gonzales March 25, 2016 · 10:57 AM EDT

The playing field for competitive Senate races could still change and grow, particularly if the bottom falls out of the election for Republicans because of Donald Trump or Ted Cruz. But in three of the eight most competitive contests, the general election matchups are set after a series of…

Democratic Senate Takeover Probable, If Cruz or Trump Nominee

Stuart Rothenberg March 11, 2016 · 9:01 AM EST

With Donald Trump and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz seemingly positioned to fight it out for the Republican presidential nomination, Democrats are now poised to take over the Senate in November.

The two Republicans still in the race who could help their party’s Senate prospects, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and…

2016 Senate Overview: Trump Looms Over Fight for the Majority

Nathan L. Gonzales March 4, 2016 · 3:00 PM EST

Twelve months ago, no one imagined billionaire Donald J. Trump would be in firm control of the Republican Party’s presidential nominating process. And the past year is peppered with handicapping mistakes as everyone tried to fit Trump into historical election molds. 

On the surface, Trump looks like anything from a…

2016 Senate Overview (March 4, 2016) Alabama - Kansas

March 4, 2016 · 2:59 PM EST

ALABAMA – Richard Shelby (R) elected 1986 (50%), 1992 (65%), 1998 (63%), 2004 (68%), 2010 (65%). Shelby turned back a serious primary challenge from Jonathan McConnell on Tuesday, 65-28 percent. The senator’s allies were concerned that Donald Trump and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz would turn out a crowd of new…

2016 Senate Overview (March 4, 2016) Kentucky - New Mexico

March 4, 2016 · 2:58 PM EST

KENTUCKY – Rand Paul (R) elected 2010 (56%). May 17 primary. Paul dropped his run for president after the Iowa caucuses and is finally focused on running for re-election. He shouldn’t have a problem, considering Kentucky’s serious Republican lean in federal elections. But his presidential run gives Democrats an opening…

2016 Senate overview (March 4, 2016) New York - Wyoming

March 4, 2016 · 2:57 PM EST

NEW YORK – Chuck Schumer (D) elected 1998 (55%), 2004 (71%), 2010 (66%). April 14 filing deadline. June 28 primary. Schumer ($24 million on Dec. 31) will win a fourth term. The only question is whether he will be the majority or minority leader in the next Congress. Safe for…