Senate News & Analysis

Fight for the Senate Intensifies

Nathan L. Gonzales September 16, 2016 · 4:00 PM EDT

Hillary Clinton’s shrinking lead in the presidential race could help Republicans keep control of the Senate. Even if Donald Trump doesn’t win the race for the White House, losing competitive states by a close margin will improve vulnerable GOP senators’ chances of survival. 

The map continues to be a…

Senate Math Still Favors Democrats

Nathan L. Gonzales September 2, 2016 · 3:00 PM EDT

Donald Trump continues to struggle in the presidential race and the Republicans’ hold on the Senate is a precarious position. 

Many of the most vulnerable Republican senators are doing everything in their power to stave off a re-election loss, but Trump appears to be digging holes in some states…

Pennsylvania Senate: Keystone of a Majority

Alex Roarty September 2, 2016 · 2:58 PM EDT

Republican Pat Toomey always knew that his re-election run this year would be difficult in a perennial battleground state like Pennsylvania. But he could hardly have imagined the challenge of running alongside a presidential nominee like Donald Trump.

The first-term lawmaker won a seat in the Senate in 2010, thanks…

The Second Biggest Surprise of the Election Season

Nathan L. Gonzales August 24, 2016 · 9:12 AM EDT

Donald Trump winning the Republican presidential nomination is the biggest surprise of the election season, but GOP senators’ success in primaries has to be a close second.

Two years after Pat Roberts, Thad Cochran and Mitch McConnell labored through competitive primaries, four years after Richard Lugar lost his primary…

Trump’s Troubles Loosen GOP Grip on Senate Majority

Nathan L. Gonzales August 19, 2016 · 2:59 PM EDT

Donald Trump is slipping further behind Hillary Clinton in the presidential race and is now in danger of taking the Republican Senate majority down with him. 

Up until the conventions, most of the vulnerable Republican senators looked poised to withstand Trump losing the presidential election. But recent polling data…

The Most Important Question to Ask Trump Defectors

Nathan L. Gonzales August 12, 2016 · 1:28 PM EDT

“Quitting the Republican Party” is the easiest way to make the news these days, but the stories about Donald Trump defectors don’t go far enough to understand the potential impact on the November elections.

Conservative columnist George Will revealed in late June that he had changed his voter registration to…

GOP Senators Brace For Trump Tsunami

Nathan L. Gonzales August 5, 2016 · 3:59 PM EDT

With both party conventions in the rearview mirror, Republicans and Democrats are preparing for the general election sprint. And the forecast is not good for the GOP.

While Donald Trump’s presidential campaign appears to be spinning wildly out of control and is potentially cratering from lack of support from GOP…

The Country is More Divided Than You Think

Nathan L. Gonzales August 5, 2016 · 3:58 PM EDT

After two consecutive weeks of covering both party conventions, standing in both arenas and being on the floor for parts of all eight nights, I came away with at least one big takeaway: We live in a divided country—a very divided country. 

At first glance, this isn’t breaking news.…

What I Learned Outside the Convention Bubble

Nathan L. Gonzales August 3, 2016 · 11:19 AM EDT

WYNNEWOOD, Pa. — Stephanie Peditto is a reminder that it’s good for reporters to venture outside the bubble because normal people don’t always follow the campaigns closely.  

After nearly two consecutive weeks of covering party conventions, it was time to take a break from the overwhelming world of…

NRSC: GOP Senators Running for Sheriff, Not President

Nathan L. Gonzales July 21, 2016 · 3:26 PM EDT

CLEVELAND — Nine freshman Republicans took the stage Tuesday night at the Republican National Convention to celebrate the GOP majority in the Senate. Six hours earlier, top GOP strategists made the case that they won’t be in the minority next year.  

The National Republican Senatorial Committee's chairman, Sen.…