Senate News & Analysis

Donald Trump, Golden Shepherds, and the 2016 Election

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Nathan L. Gonzales December 2, 2016 · 3:00 PM EST

I missed it. The most important election of my kids’ lifetimes and I missed it. I just didn’t see how the Golden Shepherd would defeat the Monarch Butterfly to become the official mascot of their public elementary school.

All the data pointed to a Monarch victory. A majority of the…

Louisiana Runoffs Shape Republicans on the Hill

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Nathan L. Gonzales December 2, 2016 · 2:59 PM EST

There was a chance the entire nation would descend on Louisiana for a December runoff that would decide control of the Senate. But Republicans’ strong performance on Nov. 8, including holding the majority and electing Donald Trump president, all-but-ended interest in the upcoming runoff in the Bayou State.

But two…

Electoral Fallout from Trump’s Cabinet Selections

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Nathan L. Gonzales December 2, 2016 · 2:58 PM EST

Donald Trump’s election sent shockwaves across the country and in Washington, D.C. Now his cabinet selections are having a ripple effect on Capitol Hill as he plucks Members to fill key slots. 

Some of his staffing decisions are more concrete than others, but here is an initial look at the…

Senate Goes Down to the Wire…and Beyond

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Nathan L. Gonzales November 3, 2016 · 4:00 PM EDT

Those of you wanting to know which party controls the Senate before you go to bed on Election Night might be sorely disappointed, or at least very tired. 

Just days away from Nov. 8, there are an extraordinary number of close races. The fight for the Senate has settled to…

Stakes Get Higher in Fight for the Senate

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Nathan L. Gonzales October 21, 2016 · 3:00 PM EDT

As the presidential race looks increasingly over, the fight for the Senate rages on. GOP candidates continue to weather the Donald Trump storm but there is only so much they can withstand. 

Hillary Clinton’s significant advantage over Trump is impacting Senate races in at least a couple of ways. The…

It’s Time for Newspapers to Stop Endorsing Candidates

Nathan L. Gonzales October 19, 2016 · 2:41 PM EDT

Just when editorial boards are coming off the sidelines to endorse in the presidential race, it’s time to do just the opposite.

After 34 years of not endorsing a presidential candidate, USA Today published “Trump is ‘unfit for the presidency’” on Sept. 30. It’s the first time the paper…

Will Trump Tip Senate to Democrats?

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Nathan L. Gonzales October 14, 2016 · 3:30 PM EDT

Senate Republicans thought they had successfully navigated the Donald Trump storm. There was no guarantee they would maintain a majority in the Senate, but the party was in surprisingly strong shape considering their nominee’s historic unfavorable ratings and a map that put the GOP on the defensive in difficult states…

Six States Will Decide Senate Majority

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Nathan L. Gonzales September 30, 2016 · 3:30 PM EDT

It’s been a roller coaster of emotion for Senate Republicans over the last two months. As Hillary Clinton expanded her lead over Donald Trump coming out of the conventions, it looked like Senate control next year was leaning firmly toward the Democrats. 

But as Trump narrowed the gap with Clinton…

Fight for the Senate Intensifies

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Nathan L. Gonzales September 16, 2016 · 4:00 PM EDT

Hillary Clinton’s shrinking lead in the presidential race could help Republicans keep control of the Senate. Even if Donald Trump doesn’t win the race for the White House, losing competitive states by a close margin will improve vulnerable GOP senators’ chances of survival. 

The map continues to be a…

Senate Math Still Favors Democrats

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Nathan L. Gonzales September 2, 2016 · 3:00 PM EDT

Donald Trump continues to struggle in the presidential race and the Republicans’ hold on the Senate is a precarious position. 

Many of the most vulnerable Republican senators are doing everything in their power to stave off a re-election loss, but Trump appears to be digging holes in some states…