Senate News & Analysis

North Carolina Senate: Life After Hagan

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Nathan L. Gonzales July 2, 2015 · 2:30 PM EDT

Democrats lost a whopping nine Senate seats in 2014, but few hurt more than North Carolina. At least the party doesn’t have to wait long before trying to avenge that defeat. 

Over the last few years, the Tar Heel State and its GOP-led Legislature has become a symbol of…

Report Shorts (June 17, 2015) Colorado Senate, Georgia Senate, Indiana Senate, Nevada Senate

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June 17, 2015 · 2:59 PM EDT

Colorado Senate. Rep. Mike Coffman (R) announced his decision to seek re-election, disappointing the NRSC but making the NRCC happy because his 6th District would have been difficult to defend without him.

Senate Republicans are still searching for a candidate. Potential GOP challengers include state Senate President Pro-Tem Ellen Roberts,…

Race Plays Out on Congressional Baseball Game Field

Nathan L. Gonzales June 12, 2015 · 2:27 PM EDT

Next year’s Florida Senate race is a high-stakes contest that could impact Roll Call Congressional Baseball Games for years to come. It may also decide the Senate majority in the next Congress.

Both parties are at risk of losing one of their youngest and most experienced players, since Democratic…

Illinois Senate: The Most Vulnerable Senator in the Country

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Nathan L. Gonzales May 29, 2015 · 3:00 PM EDT

At least a handful of GOP senators are vulnerable this election cycle, but none more than Mark Kirk of Illinois. 

While Sens. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania, Rob Portman of Ohio, and Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire are headed for competitive re-election fights, Kirk looks to be…

Arizona Landscape Shifts in Two Races

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Nathan L. Gonzales May 29, 2015 · 2:59 PM EDT

Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick’s challenge to Republican Sen. John McCain impacts our ratings of two races in Arizona.

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Up to this point, McCain was considered a heavy favorite for re-election to a sixth term, in part because the senator has proven to be a tough campaigner. But…

Report Shorts (May 29, 2015) Indiana Governor, Indiana Senate, Kentucky Governor, Nevada Senate

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May 29, 2015 · 2:58 PM EDT

Indiana Governor. Gov. Mike Pence (R) is expected to officially announce his re-election bid on June 18. Democrats are energized by the public scrutiny the governor faced over the Religious Freedom Restoration Act. Former state Speaker John Gregg (D) is running again after losing to Pence in 2012. A…

Kirkpatrick’s Decision Prompts Ratings Changes in Two Arizona Races

May 26, 2015 · 1:00 PM EDT

Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick’s challenge to Republican Sen. John McCain impacts our ratings of two races in Arizona. 

Up to this point, McCain was considered a heavy favorite for re-election to a sixth term, in part because the senator has proven to be a tough campaigner. Moreover, Republicans have…

500 Attack Emails Couldn’t Take Down Thom Tillis

Nathan L. Gonzales May 26, 2015 · 11:41 AM EDT

There were a few constants during the 2014 cycle: death, taxes, my three young kids waking up before 7 a.m. and a daily Democratic email attacking North Carolina Speaker Thom Tillis. But in the end, even in the face of hundreds of blistering emails, the Republican challenger knocked off…

Can Republicans Repeat an Upset in Colorado?

Stuart Rothenberg May 21, 2015 · 11:06 AM EDT

The May 5 email I received from Colorado Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet’s campaign committee opened with: “Larry Sabato in Politico: COLORADO IS ONE OF ONLY SEVEN 2016 TOSS-UPS. Colorado will decide the 2016 election!”

Forget the fact Sabato’s piece was talking about the Electoral College and the presidential contest,…

Nevada Senate: Republicans Hope for Heck of a Race

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Nathan L. Gonzales May 15, 2015 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democrats can’t afford to lose any of their own Senate seats in 2016 in order to have a chance at winning back the majority. That means holding on to Nevada. 

Nevada has changed dramatically between 2004, when President George W. Bush won the Silver State handily, and 2008 (and 2012),…