Senate News & Analysis

The Road to the Republican Senate Majority is Easier than You Think

Nathan L. Gonzales May 20, 2013 · 9:30 AM EDT

Republicans don’t need to win a single state that Barack Obama won in 2012 in order to have a majority in the Senate after the midterm elections.

That means all of the analysis about Republicans’ inability to appeal to swing voters or wooing moderate Democrats in blue states…

A GOP Senate Switch in South Dakota Looks More Likely

Stuart Rothenberg May 16, 2013 · 3:58 PM EDT

Former Democratic Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin’s announcement that she is passing on a Senate race in 2014, combined with secondhand reports that U.S. Attorney Brendan Johnson (son of retiring South Dakota Democratic Sen. Tim Johnson) has also decided against a Senate bid, must have put big smiles on the…

Obama’s New Political Reality Is Bad News for Dems in 2014

Stuart Rothenberg May 16, 2013 · 9:37 AM EDT

Forget background checks and gun control, divisions within the GOP on immigration, and Republican intransigence on negotiating a budget deal with the president. The current triple play of Benghazi, the IRS and now the Justice Department’s seizure of journalists’ phone records has the potential to be a political game…

Why can’t Latinos get elected to the US Senate?

Nathan L. Gonzales May 15, 2013 · 2:00 PM EDT

Latinos are growing in population and electoral clout but can’t seem to grow their numbers in the U.S. Senate. And if Republican Gabriel Gomez doesn’t win next month’s special election in Massachusetts, it could be three more years before another Latino is added to the U.S. Senate.


Alaska Senate Poll: Far, Far Less Than Meets the Eye

Stuart Rothenberg May 14, 2013 · 3:00 PM EDT

A Harper Polling survey conducted for the Tea Party Leadership Fund, an obscure conservative group that has supported Georgia Republican Rep. Paul Broun and Kentucky GOP Sen. Rand Paul, is one of those polls probably meant for fundraising and little else.

Though writing about the poll…

Ratings Change: South Dakota Senate Moves to Toss-Up/Tilt Republican

May 13, 2013 · 10:55 AM EDT

Two of Democrats’ top picks to replace Sen. Tim Johnson (D) in South Dakota have declined to run, leaving the party’s hold on the seat in a precarious position. 

In the last few days, U.S. Attorney Brendan Johnson, son of the senator, and former Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin,…

Massachusetts Senate Special Election Race Still Looks Tight

Stuart Rothenberg May 12, 2013 · 10:01 PM EDT

A new poll conducted for Republican Gabriel Gomez’s campaign shows Gomez trailing Democratic Rep. Ed Markey by just three points.

The May 5-7 poll of 800 likely special election voters by OnMessage, Inc., a Republican political consulting firm, found Markey leading Gomez 46 percent to 43 percent, with…

Can Republicans Win Six Senate Seats and Control?

Stuart Rothenberg May 3, 2013 · 2:00 PM EDT

It’s still very early in the 2013-2014 election cycle and plenty can change in the months ahead, but Republicans start off looking poised to make considerable Senate gains. All eight of the most vulnerable Senate seats this cycle are currently held by Democrats, and five of those seats currently…

2014 Senate Overview (May 3, 2013) Alabama - Kansas

May 3, 2013 · 1:59 PM EDT

ALABAMA -- Jeff Sessions (R), elected 1996 (52%), 2002 (59%) and 2008 (63%).
The last Democratic Senate nominee to win over 40 percent of the vote in Alabama was Roger Bedford in 1996 (45.5 percent). Sessions’ March 30 FEC report showed him with just over $2.8 million in…

2014 Senate Overview (May 3, 2013) Kentucky - New Mexico

May 3, 2013 · 1:58 PM EDT

KENTUCKY -- Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%).
McConnell started the cycle with the threat of competitive primary and general elections and his re-election campaign is well underway. His improved relationship with Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), hiring Paul’s campaign manager,…