Senate News & Analysis

Please Don’t Call It an Exodus From Congress

Nathan L. Gonzales February 21, 2014 · 3:48 PM EST

Two more members of Congress decided this would be their final term, but their exits don’t change the battle for the majority in the House. And contrary to an all-too-common media narrative, their departures do not signal an exodus from the House of Representatives.

“Two Democrats Join…

Texas Primaries: House, Not the Senate, is the Place to Watch

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Nathan L. Gonzales February 14, 2014 · 4:29 PM EST

The 2014 election cycle officially gets underway in a few weeks when voters in Texas go to the polls for the primaries.

Because of the recent string of high-profile Republican Senate primaries over the last couple of cycles, Rep. Steve Stockman’s challenge to incumbent Sen. John Cornyn received…

Senate Poll Analysis is More than the “Leading” Candidate

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Nathan L. Gonzales February 14, 2014 · 4:28 PM EST

Analyzing polls is more than just looking at the general election ballot tests, but you wouldn’t know it from much of the media coverage these days. And two recent Senate polls are good examples.

“SCORE EXCLUSIVE-PPP FINDS BEGICH LEADING ALL GOP OPPONENTS,” according to a recent POLITICO email.…

DCCC Is 2013 Fundraising Winner, but DNC Drops the Ball

Stuart Rothenberg February 13, 2014 · 1:57 PM EST

A look at the end-of-the-year financial reports of the two House campaign committees, two Senate campaign committees and two national party committees makes it pretty clear which ones have something to crow about and which have some explaining to do.

The big winner is the Democratic Congressional Campaign…

How Candidates Share Without Coordinating With Outside Groups

Nathan L. Gonzales February 11, 2014 · 9:58 AM EST

With each passing election cycle, both parties are figuring out new ways to skirt campaign finance laws.

A couple years ago, I wrote about how the official and independent expenditure wings of the campaign committees share opposition research and message points through less-traveled regions of the Web.…

For Democrats, It’s All About (Years) After November

Stuart Rothenberg February 5, 2014 · 3:57 PM EST

Politics is often about keeping one eye on today and another eye on tomorrow. That’s especially true for Democrats, who should not be completely disheartened about their party’s prospects.

November certainly looks like a challenging election for supporters of President Barack Obama — given the president’s anemic job…

Kansas Senate: The Electorate That Cried Wolf

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Nathan L. Gonzales January 31, 2014 · 2:59 PM EST

Any connection to President Barack Obama is often the kiss of death in a Republican primary (just ask Florida Senator Charlie Crist). But in Kansas, the President’s cousin is trying to oust a veteran Republican lawmaker.

Dr. Milton Wolf is taking on Sen. Pat Roberts in yet another…

Report Shorts (January 31, 2014) - Florida 13, Idaho 1, Montana At-Large, Oklahoma Senate

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Nathan L. Gonzales January 31, 2014 · 2:56 PM EST

Florida’s 13th District. The special election to replace the late Bill Young is heating up in this St. Petersburg-area seat. Republicans nominated lobbyist and former Young aide David Jolly earlier this month while Democratic hopes rest on the shoulders of former state Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink.

Recent…

Income Inequality: Democrats Have Some Work to Do

Stuart Rothenberg January 31, 2014 · 9:52 AM EST

The 14th question of the Jan. 22-25 NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll produced a set of responses I didn’t expect.

The poll asked, “When it comes to reducing income inequality between the rich and the poor, do you want to see the government more involved than it…

2 Seats, 1 State, Zero Opportunities

Nathan L. Gonzales January 30, 2014 · 12:01 PM EST

If Democrats plan to win Tom Coburn’s seat in Oklahoma, they’ll be working against the partisanship of the state and over six decades of history.

The Republican senator announced that he would leave his seat at the end of this Congress, two years before the end of his…