Senate News & Analysis

Most Vulnerable Senator of ‘14? Pryor by a Hair

Stuart Rothenberg April 10, 2013 · 10:04 AM EDT

Who is the most vulnerable senator seeking re-election next year?

Georgia Republican Saxby Chambliss might have won the distinction because of his vulnerability to a conservative primary challenger, but he has already announced he won’t seek another term.

The same goes for West Virginia Democrat Jay Rockefeller…

Why Isn’t Maine’s Susan Collins Vulnerable?

Stuart Rothenberg April 9, 2013 · 9:31 AM EDT

On one level, Maine’s lone Republican in Congress, Sen. Susan Collins, looks like a defeat waiting to happen.

She is a Republican from a state that went comfortably for Democrat Barack Obama twice. And she is from New England, a part of the country where the GOP is…

Why Scott Brown Running in N.H. Is a Really, Really Bad Idea

Stuart Rothenberg April 8, 2013 · 9:25 AM EDT

Multiple media outlets are reporting that former Massachusetts Sen. Scott P. Brown, a Republican, hasn’t ruled out a bid for the Senate next year in New Hampshire.

I haven’t ruled out lots of things in my life that I don’t intend to do and am pretty sure…

New Jobs Numbers Raise Economic — and Political — Questions

Stuart Rothenberg April 6, 2013 · 10:00 AM EDT

The jobs numbers just reported for March — an increase of only 88,000 jobs — are horrendous, especially coming after February’s strong job surge (236,000 new jobs revised up to 268,000).

Forget the unemployment rate sliding from 7.7 percent to 7.6 percent. As The Associated Press noted,…

Report Shorts (April 5, 2013)

April 5, 2013 · 2:27 PM EDT

Florida 2. Sunshine State Democratic scion Gwen Graham announced her bid against sophomore Rep. Steve Southerland (R) this week. A Leon County school district administrator, Graham is the daughter of former Florida governor and senator Bob Graham.  

Georgia Senate. Rep. Phil Gingrey (R) officially announced his campaign,…

What State Political Trends Portend for the 2014 Midterms

Stuart Rothenberg April 1, 2013 · 10:21 AM EDT

There probably isn’t a better demonstration of the nation’s partisan political polarization than the makeup of the Senate. Only 17 states have split delegations, while 33 states have either two Republicans or two Democrats (or two senators who caucus with the same party, in the case of independents).

Not All State Offices Are Political Launching Pads

Stuart Rothenberg April 1, 2013 · 9:25 AM EDT

My colleague Nathan Gonzales has written a terrific piece on Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes, the young Democrat mentioned as a potential challenger to veteran GOP Sen. Mitch McConnell. He explains her election as Kentucky secretary of state and her family’s connection to the Clintons, among other…

In Kentucky, All Eyes on Grimes to Face McConnell

Nathan L. Gonzales April 1, 2013 · 9:24 AM EDT

Actress Ashley Judd is out, but that doesn’t mean Democrats are giving up on the Kentucky Senate race.

Many Democrats quickly looked to Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes to take on Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell in 2014.

On the surface, the 34 year-old attorney is…

The Fat Lady Sings on Gun Control, 2013 Edition

Stuart Rothenberg March 28, 2013 · 3:23 PM EDT

Whether you are a staunch supporter of the National Rifle Association or an enthusiastic backer of the effort by New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg and California Sen. Dianne Feinstein for stronger gun control laws, it now should be clear who is winning — indeed, who has won —…

About That Terrible GOP Brand …

Stuart Rothenberg March 27, 2013 · 11:50 AM EDT

I certainly agree with pollster Andrew Kohut’s overall assessment of the Republican Party’s image and positioning problems in his March 24 Washington Post piece. I, too, have written about the GOP’s problems.

But in the piece, Kohut compares the GOP’s current position to the Democrats’ “in the…