Senate News & Analysis

Oregon Senate: Testing the Democratic Firewall

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Nathan L. Gonzales February 28, 2014 · 3:00 PM EST

Two forces could collide in Oregon later this year: a state shifting to the left while short-term political forces are working against Democrats nationwide. But the fact that Republicans have even a remote chance of winning the Senate race in Oregon demonstrates just what kind of cycle this is…

Michigan Senate: Evolving GOP Opportunity

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Nathan L. Gonzales February 28, 2014 · 2:59 PM EST

The last time Republicans won a U.S. Senate race Michigan there was an open seat in a midterm election of a Democratic president. That was 20 years ago, but Republicans believe it is a winning formula for 2014.

Michigan is one example of a Democratic seat that could…

Report Shorts (February 28, 2014) Colorado Senate, Michigan 12, Texas 33

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Nathan L. Gonzales February 28, 2014 · 2:57 PM EST

Colorado Senate. In a surprise decision, Republican Rep. Cory Gardner decided to jump into the Colorado Senate race against incumbent Democrat Mark Udall. The Denver Post broke the news on Wednesday and we immediately moved the race from Safe to Democrat Favored.

But in less than a day,…

There’s No Good Time for the GOP on Immigration

Stuart Rothenberg February 27, 2014 · 1:15 PM EST

GOP leaders on Capitol Hill apparently have already decided to punt rather than push ahead with their own immigration proposal, but that hasn’t stopped the chatter from the sidelines, especially from those who don’t like the leadership’s decision.

Liberal columnist Greg Sargent and conservative icon George…

Gardner Decision Shakes Up Colorado Senate Race

Nathan L. Gonzales February 26, 2014 · 4:15 PM EST

In a surprise decision, Republican Rep. Cory Gardner has decided to jump into the Colorado Senate race against incumbent Democrat Mark Udall. While there are other Republicans running already, Gardner gives the GOP an upper-tier candidate in a race that has not been considered competitive until now. The

Obamacare Can Be Complicated for Republicans Beyond the Beltway

Nathan L. Gonzales February 25, 2014 · 10:03 AM EST

For Republicans in D.C., the Affordable Care Act is a black and white issue — you are either for it or against it. And they are all against it. But for many GOP legislators and candidates outside the Beltway, the politics of Obamacare is much more complicated.

In…

How Jamestown Associates Adapted and Prospered

Stuart Rothenberg February 24, 2014 · 11:29 AM EST

You probably think the recent spat between the National Republican Senatorial Committee (and really the entire GOP establishment) and Jamestown Associates, a GOP consulting firm, is interesting because it reflects the fissure in the Republican Party. But after covering campaigns for decades, I think it’s also a fascinating story…

Please Don’t Call It an Exodus From Congress

Nathan L. Gonzales February 21, 2014 · 3:48 PM EST

Two more members of Congress decided this would be their final term, but their exits don’t change the battle for the majority in the House. And contrary to an all-too-common media narrative, their departures do not signal an exodus from the House of Representatives.

“Two Democrats Join…

Texas Primaries: House, Not the Senate, is the Place to Watch

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Nathan L. Gonzales February 14, 2014 · 4:29 PM EST

The 2014 election cycle officially gets underway in a few weeks when voters in Texas go to the polls for the primaries.

Because of the recent string of high-profile Republican Senate primaries over the last couple of cycles, Rep. Steve Stockman’s challenge to incumbent Sen. John Cornyn received…

Senate Poll Analysis is More than the “Leading” Candidate

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Nathan L. Gonzales February 14, 2014 · 4:28 PM EST

Analyzing polls is more than just looking at the general election ballot tests, but you wouldn’t know it from much of the media coverage these days. And two recent Senate polls are good examples.

“SCORE EXCLUSIVE-PPP FINDS BEGICH LEADING ALL GOP OPPONENTS,” according to a recent POLITICO email.…