House News & Analysis

South Carolina 1 Special: Referendum on Sanford or Colbert Busch?

Jessica Taylor April 2, 2013 · 9:39 PM EDT

Mark Sanford cleared another hurdle Tuesday on his way to political redemption, winning the GOP runoff against former Charleston City councilor Curtis Bostic.

However, the disgraced former South Carolina governor’s greatest test is yet to come against Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch on May 7. While the general election…

The Fat Lady Sings on Gun Control, 2013 Edition

Stuart Rothenberg March 28, 2013 · 3:23 PM EDT

Whether you are a staunch supporter of the National Rifle Association or an enthusiastic backer of the effort by New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg and California Sen. Dianne Feinstein for stronger gun control laws, it now should be clear who is winning — indeed, who has won —…

About That Terrible GOP Brand …

Stuart Rothenberg March 27, 2013 · 11:50 AM EDT

I certainly agree with pollster Andrew Kohut’s overall assessment of the Republican Party’s image and positioning problems in his March 24 Washington Post piece. I, too, have written about the GOP’s problems.

But in the piece, Kohut compares the GOP’s current position to the Democrats’ “in the…

Minnesota House: Competitive Drought No More?

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Jessica Taylor March 22, 2013 · 2:30 PM EDT

The Land of 10,000 Lakes has barely seen a drip of political action in recent years, but that could change drastically in 2014, with as many as five of Minnesota’s eight House seats potentially in play.

In 2008, the state not only hosted the Republican National Convention, it…

California 31: Takeover, Take 2

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Nathan L. Gonzales March 22, 2013 · 2:29 PM EDT

Don’t get caught looking ahead.

It happens during March Madness when heavily-favored basketball teams look past a “gimme” game to a future, more difficult opponent, but lose before getting that far. And it happened to Democrats in California in 2012.

President Barack Obama had no trouble winning…

The GOP: A Party Increasingly at Odds With Itself

Stuart Rothenberg March 22, 2013 · 10:41 AM EDT

“I am not a member of any organized party — I am a Democrat,” humorist Will Rogers said many years ago. But if Rogers were alive today, he’d undoubtedly see his party as a model of organization and unity when compared to the GOP.

The Republican Party continues…

Is the House in Play? A District-by-District Assessment

Stuart Rothenberg March 20, 2013 · 10:46 AM EDT

Three weeks ago, I discussed whether the House is likely to flip control next year by looking at historical trends and “big picture” questions. Those trends show that the Democrats’ task is a challenging one.

But as the past two cycles have shown, rules are made to be…

After 2012 Disappointment, Aguilar Readies Re-Run

Nathan L. Gonzales March 19, 2013 · 9:30 AM EDT

Pete Aguilar was supposed to be a Member of Congress by now, but a serious miscalculation delayed his arrival in Washington.

Aguilar is the 33 year-old mayor of Redlands, a city of almost 70,000 people in southern California’s Inland Empire, located east of Los Angeles. Viewed as a…

Recruitment Programs Predict Success…Except When They Don’t

Jessica Taylor March 14, 2013 · 3:15 PM EDT

In a Wednesday briefing with allied groups and reporters, DCCC Chairman Steve Israel emphasized that his party’s struggle to win the 17 seats begins in 2013, as he outlined how Democrats will secure early commitments from top recruits

It’s a mesage his GOP counterpart, new NRCC Chairman…

Monthly Party Fundraising Reports Don’t Tell the Whole Story

Stuart Rothenberg March 13, 2013 · 9:23 AM EDT

Every election cycle the party campaign committees, and many in the national media, make a big deal about party fundraising.

Coverage of the money chase has been exacerbated by the fact that these committees file monthly reports detailing their fundraising, as opposed to quarterly. To wit: