House News & Analysis

West Virginia 3: Cole + Coal = Victory?

Nathan L. Gonzales May 31, 2013 · 1:58 PM EDT

Nick Rahall is in a very exclusive club. The West Virginia congressman represents one of the most Republican districts held by a Democrat. Republicans talk about knocking off the long-time member but have never been able to come up with a winning formula.

But next year, in a…

Report Shorts (May 31, 2013)

May 31, 2013 · 1:57 PM EDT

Alabama 1. Rep. Jo Bonner (R) announced he would be resigning in August to take a position with the University of Alabama system. He leaves behind a very Republican district that Mitt Romney won with 62 percent in 2012 and John McCain won with 61 percent in 2008. The…

Latino Democrats Battle Each Other in Heated California Congressional Race

Nathan L. Gonzales May 30, 2013 · 9:17 AM EDT

What looked like an easy road to Congress for Redlands, California Mayor Pete Aguilar has turned into a complicated race among a trio of Hispanic Democrats. What is more, this has the potential to divide Latinos in California and Washington, D.C.

Aguilar is running for the Democratic nomination…

Friendly Fire: Parties Slam Some of Their Own

Stuart Rothenberg May 28, 2013 · 9:20 AM EDT

The National Republican Congressional Committee and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee each blasted the other side after a near party-line vote on the Smarter Solutions for Students Act, which passed the House on Thursday, 221-198.

But eight House Republicans voted with the Democrats, and four House Democrats voted with…

Illinois 13: The Voters of Madison County

Nathan L. Gonzales May 21, 2013 · 2:29 PM EDT

The best laid plans almost worked to perfection in Illinois, where Democrats controlled the redistricting process and gained four seats in the 2012 elections. But the 13th District was the one that got away.

Republican Rep. Tim Johnson (R) surprised both parties by announcing his retirement after the…

Report Shorts (May 21, 2013)

May 21, 2013 · 2:27 PM EDT

California 15. State Senate Majority Leader Ellen Corbett (D) announced her challenge to Rep. Eric Swalwell (D) in this Northern California district. Some Democrats such as Corbett and Ro Khanna were preparing to run for this seat when Rep. Pete Stark (D) retired. But Swalwell took a chance and…

Obama’s New Political Reality Is Bad News for Dems in 2014

Stuart Rothenberg May 16, 2013 · 9:37 AM EDT

Forget background checks and gun control, divisions within the GOP on immigration, and Republican intransigence on negotiating a budget deal with the president. The current triple play of Benghazi, the IRS and now the Justice Department’s seizure of journalists’ phone records has the potential to be a political game…

The NRA is Missing an Opportunity to Control Gun Debate

Nathan L. Gonzales May 9, 2013 · 3:04 PM EDT

The National Rifle Association has an opportunity to claim the mantle of public support in the gun control debate, and it would cost the group only a few thousand dollars in a meaningless race in Missouri to do it.

State House Speaker Pro Tem Jason Smith (R) is…

House Strategists Differ on Candidate Timing

Nathan L. Gonzales May 9, 2013 · 12:01 PM EDT

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel began calling prospective Democratic candidates for 2014 on Election Night 2012, but many Republican strategists have been encouraging their potential recruits to keep their powder dry.

House strategists on both sides of the aisle are implementing two very different strategies this…

Ranking Potential Flips for 2014 House Rematches

Stuart Rothenberg May 8, 2013 · 12:06 PM EDT

It’s looking as if we may see more than a dozen House race rematches in 2014. While some of them are likely to have the same outcomes as in 2012, others could easily flip party control. Here is my initial list of potential rematch flips, with the first contests…