House News & Analysis

Minnesota House: Competitive Drought No More?

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Jessica Taylor March 22, 2013 · 2:30 PM EDT

The Land of 10,000 Lakes has barely seen a drip of political action in recent years, but that could change drastically in 2014, with as many as five of Minnesota’s eight House seats potentially in play.

In 2008, the state not only hosted the Republican National Convention, it…

California 31: Takeover, Take 2

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Nathan L. Gonzales March 22, 2013 · 2:29 PM EDT

Don’t get caught looking ahead.

It happens during March Madness when heavily-favored basketball teams look past a “gimme” game to a future, more difficult opponent, but lose before getting that far. And it happened to Democrats in California in 2012.

President Barack Obama had no trouble winning…

The GOP: A Party Increasingly at Odds With Itself

Stuart Rothenberg March 22, 2013 · 10:41 AM EDT

“I am not a member of any organized party — I am a Democrat,” humorist Will Rogers said many years ago. But if Rogers were alive today, he’d undoubtedly see his party as a model of organization and unity when compared to the GOP.

The Republican Party continues…

Is the House in Play? A District-by-District Assessment

Stuart Rothenberg March 20, 2013 · 10:46 AM EDT

Three weeks ago, I discussed whether the House is likely to flip control next year by looking at historical trends and “big picture” questions. Those trends show that the Democrats’ task is a challenging one.

But as the past two cycles have shown, rules are made to be…

After 2012 Disappointment, Aguilar Readies Re-Run

Nathan L. Gonzales March 19, 2013 · 9:30 AM EDT

Pete Aguilar was supposed to be a Member of Congress by now, but a serious miscalculation delayed his arrival in Washington.

Aguilar is the 33 year-old mayor of Redlands, a city of almost 70,000 people in southern California’s Inland Empire, located east of Los Angeles. Viewed as a…

Recruitment Programs Predict Success…Except When They Don’t

Jessica Taylor March 14, 2013 · 3:15 PM EDT

In a Wednesday briefing with allied groups and reporters, DCCC Chairman Steve Israel emphasized that his party’s struggle to win the 17 seats begins in 2013, as he outlined how Democrats will secure early commitments from top recruits

It’s a mesage his GOP counterpart, new NRCC Chairman…

Monthly Party Fundraising Reports Don’t Tell the Whole Story

Stuart Rothenberg March 13, 2013 · 9:23 AM EDT

Every election cycle the party campaign committees, and many in the national media, make a big deal about party fundraising.

Coverage of the money chase has been exacerbated by the fact that these committees file monthly reports detailing their fundraising, as opposed to quarterly. To wit:

Can House Democrats Improve on ’12 Recruiting Flops?

Stuart Rothenberg March 12, 2013 · 9:51 AM EDT

If Democrats are going to have any chance of netting 17 seats during the 2014 midterms — and taking back control of the House — they are going to have to do a much better job in a handful of districts where their recruiting fell far short in 2012.…

The Fight for the House: Can Anyone Widen the Narrow Playing Field?

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Stuart Rothenberg March 8, 2013 · 3:00 PM EST

Seventeen -- that’s the number of seats Democrats need to gain to take back the House next year. But netting that many seats will be tough after the party picked up eight last year, especially in a midterm year when a Democrat is in the White House.

Democrats…

2014 House Overview (March 8, 2013) Alabama - Indiana

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March 8, 2013 · 2:59 PM EST

Alabama (6 Republicans, 1 Democrat)
No competitive races expected in 2014, unless a U.S. Senate seat opens up and draws interest from members of the delegation. Then, a primary or two could be worth watching.

Alaska (1R)
Republican Rep. Don Young just keeps rolling along, though…