Archive

Race for the White House: Can Romney Mount a Comeback?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 5, 2012 · 1:00 PM EDT

Two respected polls, conducted by NBC News/Wall Street Journal and ABC News/Washington Post, recently showed former Gov. Mitt Romney (R) creeping back into the presidential race, but it was Wednesday’s debate that probably changed the trajectory of the contest.


Over the past few weeks,…

Parties Locked in Fight for the Senate (Senate Overview, October 5, 2012)

October 5, 2012 · 12:59 PM EDT

The Senate is still broadly “in play,” but that doesn’t mean that it is a pure toss-up.

Democrats have the edge because of the retirement of Maine Sen. Olympia Snowe (R) and the implosion of Todd Akin in Missouri, potentially handing Democrats two seats that should be in the GOP column.…

House Majority Remains Out of Democrats’ Grasp (House Overview, October 5, 2012)

October 5, 2012 · 12:58 PM EDT

With a month to go before the election, we are changing our ratings for a handful of House races but see no reason to alter our overall assessment that Republicans are likely to retain their majority in November.

The two parties are looking at some very different polling results in a number of…

2012 House Ratings (October 5, 2012)

October 5, 2012 · 12:55 PM EDT

Friday’s Numbers: Does Anybody Still Care?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 5, 2012 · 9:11 AM EDT

A few months ago, I expected this Friday to be a crucial day in the presidential race. After all, it would be the day when September's unemployment and new jobs numbers would be released, right in the heart of the contest.

But now, it's far from clear that those numbers will mean anything. The…

Democratic Surge in House Races? Not So Fast

by Stuart Rothenberg October 4, 2012 · 9:00 AM EDT

Conservative thinker William Kristol and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee usually don't see things the same way, but they seem to agree that the House of Representatives is "in play."

The Weekly Standard's Kristol raised that possibility, albeit with a few caveats, more than a…

Don’t Neglect the Twitter Effect on Debates

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 1, 2012 · 3:19 PM EDT

Amid all the pregame coverage of the first presidential debate, don’t neglect the Twitter effect. The winner and loser could be decided and the post-game narrative and media coverage could be set before the candidates even leave the stage.

Of course, Twitter launched before the 2008 campaign,…

Republican Path to Senate Majority Narrows (Senate Overview, September 28, 2012)

September 28, 2012 · 2:00 PM EDT

The Senate playing field looks vastly different than either party had anticipated a year, or even six months ago -- and it’s moved decidedly in Democrats’ favor, in part because of campaign-specific developments and in part because of a general slippage in GOP numbers in states where Obama is…