May 21, 2015 · 11:06 AM EDT
The May 5 email I received from Colorado Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet’s campaign committee opened with: “Larry Sabato in Politico: COLORADO IS ONE OF ONLY SEVEN 2016 TOSS-UPS. Colorado will decide the 2016 election!”
Forget the fact Sabato’s piece was talking about the Electoral College and the presidential contest, not the Senate race in the Centennial State. The Bennet campaign wants you to know control of the Senate after 2016 rests on Colorado, and you’d better dig deep into your pockets if you want to re-elect Bennet and assure a Democratic sweep in the state.
In fact, Sabato, the Cook Political Report and the Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report all agree the Colorado Senate race, still in its infancy, leans toward the Democrat. It is not a tossup, no matter how many fundraising emails the Bennet campaign sends out.
Of course, this doesn’t mean it will never become a tossup. Contests develop, and vulnerabilities change. Republican strategists have not given up hope of recruiting a top-tier challenger, such as Rep. Mike Coffman, who might be able to mount the sort of come-from-behind effort then-Rep. Cory Gardner did to upset Democratic Sen. Mark Udall last cycle.
But even knowledgeable Republicans wouldn’t tell you the Colorado Senate race is close to a tossup now.…
May 15, 2015 · 3:00 PM EDT
Democrats can’t afford to lose any of their own Senate seats in 2016 in order to have a chance at winning back the majority. That means holding on to Nevada.
Nevada has changed dramatically between 2004, when President George W. Bush won the Silver State handily, and 2008 (and 2012), when Barack…
May 15, 2015 · 2:59 PM EDT
The Las Vegas-based district is very Democratic and not at risk of a Republican takeover. If Democratic Rep. Dina Titus decides to run for the Senate, the fight to replace her would be in the primary.
Barack Obama won the district with 65 percent in 2008 and 66 percent in 2012, and…
May 15, 2015 · 2:58 PM EDT
With nine months to go before the first caucuses and a throng of Republicans interested in the presidential nomination, only a one thing is certain: only one candidate will finish first in Iowa. And it’s unclear how another dozen or so established politicians will handle losing the Hawkeye State. …